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California’s $100 Billion rail project is still missing most of its money

Jacob Shelton May 19, 2025

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FRESNO, CA, TUESDAY, APRIL 16, 2019 - Construction continues on the San Joaquin River Viaduct section of the California High Speed Rail Project. (Robert Gauthier/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)

Sacramento, California – Amid renewed threats from former President Donald Trump to cut federal funding, California’s High-Speed Rail Authority announced a surge in private investment interest for the nation’s largest high-speed rail initiative. The uptick comes as the project faces mounting financial challenges, including a newly reported $10.2 billion budget gap for its first operational segment between Bakersfield and Merced.

Initially approved by voters in 2008 as a $40 billion plan to connect Los Angeles and San Francisco, the high-speed rail project has experienced years of delays, cost overruns, and political battles. Now expected to exceed $100 billion, the ambitious project remains under intense scrutiny as lawmakers weigh its future viability.

Despite the setbacks, officials say private investors are showing growing enthusiasm. Following a January forum with industry leaders, the High-Speed Rail Authority said private equity firms are actively exploring financing opportunities. “This outreach opened the door for meaningful private sector engagement,” the authority said in a statement. “It marked the first instance of such large-scale industry collaboration.”

Ian Choudri, the Authority’s CEO, stated, “After 200 days in this role, I’m proud to report that all five of these initiatives are well into the implementation phase. Notably, our outreach to the private sector has been met with strong and growing interest. Now is the time for California to show leadership by seizing this ‘once in a project lifetime opportunity’ to unlock private capital and build the future of transportation in California.”

The Authority says private investment could help offset a widening funding gap and bolster confidence in the Bakersfield-to-Merced segment, which they now project to cost $38.5 billion—up from $35.3 billion just two months ago. Rising construction costs, inflation, and material shortages (especially copper and concrete) are primarily to blame.

Governor Gavin Newsom has proposed dedicating at least $1 billion annually from California’s Cap-and-Trade revenue to ensure financial stability. “This will resolve the number one risk for completion of Merced to Bakersfield – funding uncertainty,” the Authority stated.

Not all lawmakers are convinced. “The high-speed rail project continues to suffer from self-inflicted wounds,” said Republican State Sen. Tony Strickland, calling for serious discussions on ending the project. “Our state truly does not have the money to waste.”

Still, the Authority is progressing, promising a full update on costs and timelines in summer 2025. Whether California’s high-speed rail will become a model of clean transit or a symbol of government overreach may hinge not just on budgets—but on whether new private capital can truly save the project.

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